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Thursday, June 7, 2012

Internet Traffic Will Quadruple in 2016

Believe it or not, but Cisco recently predicted that data explosion would soon break zettabyte barrier. Press reports confirm that online data will reach even more mind boggling growth, with the company predicting a 4-fold increase to IP traffic by 2016.
Analysts from Cisco expect global IP traffic to reach 1.3 zettabytes by 2016, which is equivalent to 1.3 trillion gigabytes being sent across the globe. You can also measure this in 38,000,000 DVDs streamed over an hour. In fact, it is around 4 times the traffic seen last year.

Visual Networking Index (VNI) Forecast for 2011-2016, published by Cisco, says that this rapid growth is being driven by several factors. It also says that the sheer weight of number of devices which are connected will continue increasing due to tablets and smartphones that are already pushing demand for connectivity, as well as machine to machine communications.

Cisco’s report estimated that there will be around 2.5 connections for each person on the planet in 4 years, with connected devices increasing massively from 10.3 to 18.9 billion. Meanwhile, the number of actual Internet users is expected to grow to 3.4 billion. At the same time, over 50% of the world’s traffic will come from Wi-Fi, so Cisco is expected to rub its hands with glee at the thought of router sales if the analysts’ predictions prove right.

According to the report, faster broadband speeds are going to contribute to more information being flung through the ether, while average speeds increase from 9 Mbps last year to 34 Mbps in 2016. As or video, it will provide a basis for much of the growth, because there will be 1.5 billion video users, sending 1.2 million video minutes per second in 2016. At the same time, video conferencing for businesses is predicted to see a boom, with the number of business Internet users growing from 1.6 to 2.3 billion.

The report also overviews the growth of separate regions. For example, Asia Pacific region is expected to see the most significant increase in IP traffic – around 40.5 exabytes a month, while North America will only see 27.5 exabytes per month. However, the fastest growing regions are predicted to be the Middle East and Africa, which will get a compound growth rate of 58%.

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